Muscatine

Obumbler is betting on the wrong horse

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  • hiroad
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How North Dakota Became Saudi Arabia

Harold Hamm, discoverer of the Bakken fields of the northern
Great Plains, on America's oil future and why OPEC's days are numbered.

Harold Hamm, the Oklahoma-based founder and CEO of Continental Resources, the
14th-largest oil company in America, is a man who thinks big. He came to
Washington last month to spread a needed message of economic optimism: With the
right set of national energy policies, the United States could be "completely
energy independent by the end of the decade. We can be the Saudi Arabia of oil
and natural gas in the 21st century."

"President Obama is riding the wrong horse on energy," he adds. We can't come
anywhere near the scale of energy production to achieve energy independence by
pouring tax dollars into "green energy" sources like wind and solar, he argues.
It has to come from oil and gas.

You'd expect an oilman to make the "drill, baby, drill" pitch. But since 2005
America truly has been in the midst of a revolution in oil and natural gas,
which is the nation's fastest-growing manufacturing sector. No one is more
responsible for that resurgence than Mr. Hamm. He was the original discoverer of
the gigantic and prolific Bakken oil fields of Montana and North Dakota that
have already helped move the U.S. into third place among world oil
producers.

How much oil does Bakken have? The official estimate of the U.S. Geological
Survey a few years ago was between four and five billion barrels. Mr. Hamm
disagrees: "No way. We estimate that the entire field, fully developed, in
Bakken is 24 billion barrels."

If he's right, that'll double America's proven oil reserves. "Bakken is
almost twice as big as the oil reserve in Prudhoe Bay, Alaska," he continues.
According to Department of Energy data, North Dakota is on pace to surpass
California in oil production in the next few years. Mr. Hamm explains over lunch
in Washington, D.C., that the more his company drills, the more oil it finds.
Continental Resources has seen its "proved reserves" of oil and natural gas
(mostly in North Dakota) skyrocket to 421 million barrels this summer from 118
million barrels in 2006.

"We expect our reserves and production to triple over the next five years."
And for those who think this oil find is only making Mr. Hamm rich, he notes
that today in America "there are 10 million royalty owners across the country"
who receive payments for the oil drilled on their land. "The wealth is being
widely shared."

One reason for the renaissance has been OPEC's erosion of market power. "For
nearly 50 years in this country nobody looked for oil here and drilling was in
steady decline. Every time the domestic industry picked itself up, the Saudis
would open the taps and drown us with cheap oil," he recalls. "They had
unlimited production capacity, and company after company would go bust."

 

Today OPEC's market share is falling and no longer dictates the world price.
This is huge, Mr. Hamm says. "Finally we have an opportunity to go out and
explore for oil and drill without fear of price collapse." When OPEC was at its
peak in the 1990s, the U.S. imported about two-thirds of its oil. Now we import
less than half of it, and about 40% of what we do import comes from Mexico and
Canada. That's why Mr. Hamm thinks North America can achieve oil
independence.

The other reason for America's abundant supply of oil and natural gas has
been the development of new drilling techniques. "Horizontal drilling" allows
rigs to reach two miles into the ground and then spread horizontally by
thousands of feet. Mr. Hamm was one of the pioneers of this method in the 1990s,
and it has done for the oil industry what hydraulic fracturing has done for
natural gas drilling in places like the Marcellus Shale in the Northeast. Both
innovations have unlocked decades worth of new sources of domestic fossil fuels
that previously couldn't be extracted at affordable cost.

 

Mr. Hamm's rags to riches success is the quintessential "only in America"
story. He was the last of 13 kids, growing up in rural Oklahoma "the son of
sharecroppers who never owned land." He didn't have money to go to college, so
as a teenager he went to work in the oil fields and developed a passion. "I
always wanted to find oil. It was always an irresistible calling."

He became a wildcat driller and his success rate became legendary in the
industry. "People started to say I have ESP," he remarks. "I was fortunate, I
guess. Next year it will be 45 years in the business."

Mr. Hamm ranks 33rd on the Forbes wealth list for America, but given the
massive amount of oil that he owns, much still in the ground, and the dizzying
growth of Continental's output and profits (up 34% last year alone), his wealth
could rise above $20 billion and he could soon be rubbing elbows with the likes
of Warren Buffett.

His only beef these days is with Washington. Mr. Hamm was invited to the
White House for a "giving summit" with wealthy Americans who have pledged to
donate at least half their wealth to charity. (He's given tens of millions of
dollars already to schools like Oklahoma State and for diabetes research.) "Bill
Gates, Warren Buffett, they were all there," he recalls.

 

When it was Mr. Hamm's turn to talk briefly with President Obama, "I told him
of the revolution in the oil and gas industry and how we have the capacity to
produce enough oil to enable America to replace OPEC. I wanted to make sure he
knew about this."

The president's reaction? "He turned to me and said, 'Oil and gas will be
important for the next few years. But we need to go on to green and alternative
energy. [Energy] Secretary [Steven] Chu has assured me that within five years,
we can have a battery developed that will make a car with the equivalent of 130
miles per gallon.'" Mr. Hamm holds his head in his hands and says, "Even if you
believed that, why would you want to stop oil and gas development? It was pretty
disappointing."

Washington keeps "sticking a regulatory boot at our necks and then turns
around and asks: 'Why aren't you creating more jobs,'" he says. He roils at the
Interior Department delays of months and sometimes years to get permits for
drilling. "These delays kill projects," he says. Even the Securities and
Exchange Commission is now tightening the screws on the oil industry, requiring
companies like Continental to report their production and federal royalties on
thousands of individual leases under the Sarbanes-Oxley accounting rules. "I
could go to jail because a local operator misreported the production in the
field," he says.

 

The White House proposal to raise $40 billion of taxes on oil and gas—by
excluding those industries from credits that go to all domestic manufacturers—is
also a major hindrance to exploration and drilling. "That just stops the
drilling," Mr. Hamm believes. "I've seen these things come about before, like
[Jimmy] Carter's windfall profits tax." He says America's rig count on active
wells went from 4,500 to less than 55 in a matter of months. "That was a dumb
idea. Thank God, Reagan got rid of that."

A few months ago the Obama Justice Department brought charges against
Continental and six other oil companies in North Dakota for causing the death of
28 migratory birds, in violation of the Migratory Bird Act. Continental's crime
was killing one bird "the size of a sparrow" in its oil pits. The charges carry
criminal penalties of up to six months in jail. "It's not even a rare bird.
There're jillions of them," he explains. He says that "people in North Dakota
are really outraged by these legal actions," which he views as "completely
discriminatory" because the feds have rarely if ever prosecuted the Obama
administration's beloved wind industry, which kills hundreds of thousands of
birds each year.

Continental pleaded not guilty to the charges last week in federal court. For
Mr. Hamm the whole incident is tantamount to harassment. "This shouldn't happen
in America," he says. To him the case is further proof that Washington "is out
to get us."

Mr. Hamm believes that if Mr. Obama truly wants more job creation, he should
study North Dakota, the state with the lowest unemployment rate in the nation at
3.5%. He swears that number is overstated: "We can't find any
unemployed people up there. The state has 18,000 unfilled jobs," Mr. Hamm
insists. "And these are jobs that pay $60,000 to $80,000 a year." The economy is
expanding so fast that North Dakota has a housing shortage. Thanks to the oil
boom—Continental pays more than $50 million in state taxes a year—the state has
a budget surplus and is considering ending income and property taxes.

It's hard to disagree with Mr. Hamm's assessment that Barack Obama has the
energy story in America wrong. The government floods green energy—a niche market
that supplies 2.5% of our energy needs—with billions of dollars of subsidies a
year. "Wind isn't commercially feasible with natural gas prices below $6" per
thousand cubic feet, notes Mr. Hamm. Right now its price is below $4. This may
explain the administration's hostility to the fossil-fuel renaissance.

Mr. Hamm calculates that if Washington would allow more drilling permits for
oil and natural gas on federal lands and federal waters, "I truly believe the
federal government could over time raise $18 trillion in royalties." That's more
than the U.S. national debt, I say. He smiles.

This estimate sounds implausibly high, but Mr. Hamm has a lifelong habit of
proving skeptics wrong. And even if he's wrong by half, it's a stunning number
to think about. So this America-first energy story isn't just about jobs and
economic revival. It's also about repairing America's battered balance sheet.
Someone should get this man in front of the congressional deficit-reduction
supercommittee.

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  • BDI
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In what world have I come to waken? Is this really there? Why in the name of good common sense has this not been in the forefront of the news, since I have never once seen this on the tube? If bozobama isn't running around like Reagan did for oil is beyond me. What butter he or anyone in such high places could make of this. I just hope to the highest the arabs have heard of this and are sorely afraid. I am amazed at how much we have at our disposal but cannot touch. Compressed natural gas has been with us for long and long but since BP owns most of the techknowlegy I can't seem to find one car on the lots that run on it. I'm sure they are out there but where. So oil it is, if it's there go get it I say! and stop sending any of it to the asian market. Otherwise I still want my little solar electric, powered by good ole American coal fired juice.

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