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IBID
cut in paste/such a waste
Oct 17, 2004
does not put a smile upon my face.you must strive to seek a ride to reach the others on their side. i fear that you will fail and it will cause right wing dogs to chase their tails.the time has come for one and all to cease and desist or all will fall.OR you could read that right wing post with a grain of salt,draw a conclusion jot down some thoughts and regal us all here with some humorous,insightful,or pithy Original Thoughts. go ahead.I'll
wait. until then,God bless you,us,them
and The United States of America
woooohoooooooooooo ;0)
-By townie home owner
By townie home owner
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President Bush will vanquish Sen
Pessimistic Kerry supporters predict Bush will be the victor
American voters, while split over who should be the next president, overwhelmingly predict that President Bush will vanquish Sen. John Kerry, an expectation that could affect the outcome of a close election.
While the various national polls show that voters prefer the president over Mr. Kerry by an average of four points, those same surveys place Mr. Bush some 20 points ahead on the question of which candidate is expected to win.
''This could be a big cause of concern for Kerry,'' professor Vicki Morwitz of New York University said. ''If people really think Bush is going to win, they may have a slight tendency to shift their preference and ultimately vote for Bush, even though they were a Kerry supporter to begin with.''
Mark Halperin, political director of ABC News, agreed.
''If more people (regardless of whom they support) don't start telling pollsters that they believe Kerry will win, he probably can't,'' Mr. Halperin wrote in ABC's the Note, an online political briefing.
Roughly one-quarter of Kerry supporters who have an opinion on the outcome of the election predict the Massachusetts Democrat will lose, according to polls by Fox News and the TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP). By contrast, only one of 18 Bush supporters who have an opinion on the outcome expect the president to lose.
That runs contrary to the prediction of pundits who claim Mr. Kerry's supporters are more enthusiastic and therefore more likely to turn out voters in large numbers, according to Matthew Dowd, chief strategist for the Bush campaign.
''If the vast majority of your supporters believe you're going to win, you're going to be more motivated to turn out, and get other people to turn out,'' Mr. Dowd said. ''Conversely, if a third of Kerry supporters don't think their candidate's going to win, that means they would be much less likely to turn out or help in the final days.
''It's not necessarily completely vote-determinative,'' he added. ''But it does reflect the president's momentum in the race and the enthusiasm and strength of his supporters.''
Dick Morris, who came to prominence as the pollster for President Clinton, said that while the expectations differential might help Mr. Bush in a typical election, this year's contest is so polarizing that even pessimistic Kerry supporters will show up at the polls.
''In this election, where everybody believes it will be razor close -- partly because of what happened in 2000 -- I don't think expectations will be a factor,'' he said. ''I think there's going to be a huge turnout.''
But Mrs. Morwitz, a marketing professor whose research likens winning politicians to winning products, said the constant drumbeat of polls showing Mr. Bush ahead could have an impact.
''If you like Kerry and then find out the electorate doesn't like him -- they seem to like Bush better -- that makes you feel psychologically uncomfortable,'' she explained. ''And people don't like to be in a dissonant state, whether it's about politics, whether it's about products, whether it's about anything.
''So they try to find a way to get out of that state,'' she added. ''Therefore, there might be at least a small number of Kerry supporters shifting their attitudes to be a little more pro-Bush so that their expectations and preferences line up.''
New polls by Gallup, Fox and ABC News have Mr. Bush ahead by eight, seven and five points, respectively. However, those same polls show the president leading by margins of 20, 17 and 23 on the question of who respondents expect to win the election.
By Ida Thoughtyouwouldhavegotit
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why George W. Bushto be re-elect
Bush is looking good!
Why vote for Bush and what's wrong with Kerry. These run the gamut from homeschooling moms to busy doctors and lawyers to retired intelligence operatives and professors of every sort. Their contributions to the debate on why George W. Bush ought to be re-elected is superb.
Of course, the Bush campaign is concentrating on blocking and tackling right now, and the key will be the success of the 96-hour effort. There are some structural advantages running strongly in the president's favor which you should remind any of the weak-kneed in your family or wider circle. First, 4 million evangelicals stayed home in 2000. That isn't going to happen this year ?– not with appreciation for the president at a peak in this community, and with concern over both the war on terror and the protection of traditional marriage. This is a huge advantage over the president's position in 2000, and one not easily understood by pollsters using turnout models based on the 2000 election.
Then there's the black, Jewish and Catholic votes.
Blacks turned out at a very high rate of 54 percent in 2000, and voted 91 percent for Gore. Recent polling suggests that the president may have doubled his share of the African American vote. Jewish Americans account for only 4 percent of the vote overall, but many of those votes are cast in battleground states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Jews voted for Al Gore over George Bush by a margin of 81 percent to 19 percent in 2000. The president's strong support for Israel and Kerry's back-flip on the fence and on Arafat will help the president improve his performance here.
Then there's the Catholic vote, which makes up slightly more than 25 percent of the electorate. It broke for Gore by about 53 percent to 47 percent in 2000, but this year Kerry's extremism on abortion ?– favoring taxpayer-funded abortions, refusing to vote to ban partial-birth abortions or to require parental notification ?– has caused many church leaders to remind their congregations of the centrality of the abortion issue to the church's dogma. Bush should increase his total share of the Catholic vote.
To these structural advantages add the fact that on the conduct of the war on terror, Bush enjoys a huge lead over Kerry ?– a ''last minute decider issue'' if there ever was one.
And of course, the 96-hour effort that was tested so successfully in 2002 is fully deployed and already in operation. Whether or not the pollsters take accurate pictures over the next two weeks, understand that all the dynamics are working in favor of the re-election of George W. Bush. And there is not ''DUI bombshell'' dirty trick waiting to be dropped this time around, and no early call of Florida for Kerry to help suppress GOP turn-out across the country.
Lots of good signs for Bush, and not much to cheer a Kerry supporter except perhaps replaying ''F911'' for the hundredth time.
By A Rather Staunch Republican
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$165 million lawsuit by Gore's
I didn't vote for George W. Bush in 2000.
Though faced with a dismal choice that year, I chose to sit out the presidential election ?– even though Bush's opponent, Al Gore, was part of an administration that spent years terrorizing me and other critics of Bill Clinton, using all the awesome power of the federal government.
In fact, ever since 2000, my news organization has been the target of a $165 million lawsuit by Gore's chief fund-raiser in Tennessee. It seems the former vice president and his supporters there believe a devastating 18-part investigative series on Gore's history in his home state contributed mightily to his defeat in Tennessee ?– and, thus, a loss of electoral votes and the White House.
Still, I couldn't support Bush in 2000 because I did not believe he would govern according to the limits of the U.S. Constitution. That is my minimum standard requirement for support of any candidate for federal office.
However, three years ago, this nation was attacked as it has never been attacked before. We find ourselves in a global conflict with a radical ideology of evil comparable to our titanic battles of the past with Nazism and communism. It's a fight to the finish. It's a fight for our lives. It's a fight that will never end until one side or the other is vanquished.
I have come to the conclusion that, like it or not, Osama bin Laden and his jihadist allies have one short-term goal above all others ?– defeating George W. Bush at the polls Nov. 2.
A victory by John Kerry, a lifelong appeaser of totalitarianism, would hand the terrorists their biggest morale boost since Sept. 11, 2001. If you doubt what I am saying, look no further than the ''endorsement'' of Kerry by Yasser Arafat's Palestinian Authority. Arafat is the father of modern-day Arab terrorism.
So this election for me is not so much about Bush. It's about you. The election has now come down to something very simple. It is your chance to send the terrorists a message. It is your moment to make the terrorists hear from you.
A mandate for Bush will send the terrorists just such a message. It will tell them we have stood up as a nation. It will tell them we will continue to hunt them down ?– no matter how long it takes and no matter what the cost.
A close election ?– or, God forbid, a Kerry victory ?– will actually encourage the terrorists. It will send them the message that you are tired and weary and that your will to fight them to the death is giving out.
Ask yourself today: Will America be safer with Bush or Kerry in the White House?
That's how simple the choice is today. All other considerations merely muddy the water and complicate what is seen by our enemies as a clear choice.
If we were at peace, this might be an opportune moment to consider building a third party. It might be a great chance to protest the choices we have. But we are not at peace. We are at war.
A Kerry victory ?– or even a close election, decided days or weeks after the vote ?– will increase exponentially the danger our country faces, the risk to our children, the threat to our way of life.
That's what this election comes down to for me. It's not about Bush. It's not about Kerry. It's about you. It's about the message you send to the enemy ?– to the beast.
If we rise up Nov. 2 and send the beast a message, we will have taken our most dramatic step toward victory in this global conflict.
This is your moment to make your voice heard ?– all the way to the caves in Afghanistan, the terrorist cells in Chechnya, the dismal slums of Fallujah and teeming streets of Gaza.
It's time for you to be heard. It's time to fight back. It's time to make your stand.
Vote for George W. Bush Nov. 2.
By Bill Clinton terrorizing me
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